Linear growth seen as sign of flattening Covid-19 curve in Tamil Nadu

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A total of 56 new coronavirus cases has been reported as of 8:00 AM on Apr 18 in Tamil Nadu, according to data released by the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare.

This brings the total reported cases of coronavirus in Tamil Nadu to 1,323. Among the total people infected as on date, 283 have recovered and 15 have passed away.

The high rate of recovery is seen by researchers and epidemiologists as signs of the flattening of the Covid-19 curve. They noted that more people are getting cured than those getting infected.

Times of India quoted Sitabhra Sinha of the Institute of Mathematical Sciences as saying that growth of cases in the state is linear, but not exponential. Medical experts attribute this to effective contact tracing. If the present trend continues and no fresh clusters emerge, Tamil Nadu may be able to flattening the curve by the time lockdown ends.

As on Friday, Tamil Nadu had 1,323 confirmed cases, 283 recovered and 15 deaths. States like Maharashtra have been recording an exponential rise with 3,202 confirmed cases, 164 recovered and 194 deaths.

National Institute of Epidemiology director Manoj V Murhekar says the doubling period getting longer is an indicator of the situation stabilising.

At the national level, 991 fresh COVID-19 cases and 43 fatalities have been reported since Friday morning, according to a report in Outlook. This takes the total number of cases to 14,378 and the death toll to 480.

Till now, 1,992 patients have been cured of the disease, the report quoting Joint Secretary in the Health Ministry Lav Agarwal said. This is around 13.85 per cent of the COVID-19 patients.

The mortality rate in COVID-19 cases in India has been around 3.3 per, he said, adding 14.4 per cent of the deaths are between 0-45 years, 10.3 per cent between 45- 60 years, 33.1 per cent between 60-75 years and 42.2 per cent fatalities among people aged 75 and above.

"So, we see that 75.3 per cent deaths have been in among those aged 60 or above and in 83 per cent cases co-morbidities have been found," Agarwal said and reiterated that the elderly and people with co-morbid conditions are at high risk.

Image Credit: Telangana Today

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